Only charts

Merkel, said after meeting british prime minister , theresa may , that there will be no more negotiations regarding brexit deal. That priece of news was enough to send both euro and sterling down more than 50 pips each. Eur/usd fell from 1.1370$ area to 1.1320$ and Gbp/usd fell from 1.2615$ to 1.2550$ area. Both are now sitting on critical support area which I think may hold strong . Eur/usd has been trading in a range for more than 2 weeks now from 1.1320$ to 1.1420$ , so a rising trendline and low of the range will provide support for the euro recovery . if failed to hold , there will mounting pressure on euro which will send the pair to 1.1120$ . while on the upside , 1.1360$ will be first resistance area for any rally followed by 1.1420$ . 

Big news from china this holiday will definitely be weighting on markets this monday. #China’s official manufacturing #PMI fell to 50.8 in Sep, vs expected 51.2, previous 51.3. The caixin manufacturing PMI, more closely tracking small private manufacturers, fell to 50, new low in 16 months, vs expected 50.5, previous 50.6 #BREAKING: #PBOC cut #RRR for banks by 1%, effective from 15 Oct. It will release about 1.2tn yuan liquidity, including 450bn yuan to be used to repay MLF coming due on 15 Oct. AUD/USD might gap down on this news.

WTI oil has fallen sharply on Thursday from 77$ to 74$ .. And it is currently trading shy of 75$ . On RSI , the commodity is set for reversing now from current level at 74.90$ and probably targeting 73.20$ Also , WTI has fallen back into the rising channel and now testing the upper trend line of the channel. So your tp is at channel bottom while sl is on hourly close above the channel top.

Usd/jpy will break and stabilize above 112¥ anytime soon. The pair has found decent support around 110.60¥ .and has been building bullish sentiment over the last few trading session.  The pair made a low today @ 111.65¥ and a high of 112.26¥. The trade tensions between united states and China and the tariffs war is the definitely headlines everyone watching for . however , as I believe strongly in technical analysis as the king , then we should see news that will help the dollar rally against Japanese yen soon. First Long term target is definitely around 115¥

Eur/usd crashed on friday from 1.1720$ to 1.1620$ , a 100 pips slide. The support at 1.1660$ did not hold and now last area of support is being tested which is 1.1610$ If broken , the pair will be extremely bearish and we will certainly visit 1.1440$ next week. The sentiment is now bearish and weekly close is terrible and will put alot of pressure on the Monday trading and a break of 1.16$ may fulfil true and then we will head to 1.1565$ again. I don't recommend going long now as the pair is never able to stay steady above 1.17$

Usdcad broke the resistance at 1.3130 and now trading at 1.32 , the pair is trading in an upper rising channel. It could hit the upper side of the channel at 1.3270 this week and start a correction from there. If you are short usdcad and in a losing position , you can wait for the correction which might get as low as 1.3050. My previous analysis for the pair turned out to be wrong .

Tomorrow , Thursday , is the day you sell usdcad at whatever level you want. Probably at 1.3030-3130 , i know this is a big range , but it will pay off hugely . The fed raised and there is still scope for 2 more hikes this year. There will be some dollar strength of course today and tomorrow before we see a reversal Shortly , i will post a recommendation for trading usdjpy as well.

Trading currently at 1.3010 , usdcad is very recommended to be sold at current level with a very good pay off . RSI level approaching 70 mark and it is expected we fall to 1.28 handle .

The pair is getting close to our short entry area , 1.1780$ , you can short $eurusd at this area targeting 1.1675-95$ area. Keep following for updates .

Usdjpy plunged after reaching 109.80¥ already mentioned in my earlier post today. You should have all made a 25 pips profit then. I think we still have a chance for usdjpy to get back above 110 mark.

Start a long position at 109.50¥ area with little target at 109.80¥ . The pair is very well supported around this area , however it is unable to break 110.20¥ area. Keep following for updates

Eur/usd broke below the bullish trendline and is currently retesting it and it will of course go down again to break the recent low at 1.2385$ The target should be around 1.2260-1.2300$ area ..

EUR/USD is currently between resistance at 1.2510$ and support at 1.2485$ . A break below 1.2485$ will open the road to real support at 1.2465$ which is 38% fibonnnaci retracment level while a break above 1.2510$ will clear the way for new highs this probably between 1.2580-1.2625$ area. Keep your eye on those levels and I prefer going short at the moment with exit if we close above 1.2510$

Eur/usd rallied after making triple bottom at 1.2385$ , however rally stalled at 1.2520$..The pair is currently retracing and make or break level would be 1.2465$ , if the pair finds support there , then we might break 1.2520$ , if we break below that support then we will fall to 1.23$ , and final support would be 1.2260$ ....just keep in mind that we will have NFP report released tomorrow.

The pair rebound from support area at 1.2385$ but recovery stalled at 1.2420$ area , the pair may have some room towards 1.2440$ but bias remains bearish after yesterday reversal. You can short the pair at the moment with target 1.2360$ area and exit if we break above the bearish trendline shown below

Gold / the precious yellow metal made it clear on friday post NFP figures that it is targeting higher levels. Gold already broke the bearish weekly trendline and declined to test daily support/trendline at 1260$ and reversed sharply to 1285$ during the asian session. The precious metal might find some resistance in the area of 1295-1300$ before resuming the bullish move to 1550$ in medium term. I recommend going long at current 1275$ area with stop loss on daily close below 1260$ ...

Euro has been rallying since the winning of macron over le pen . Closing above 1.0780$ then cleared the path for eurusd to 1.14$ and then tackling it to reach 1.1770$ so far. Would we see any retracement for the pair anytime soon? You can not tell and going against the trend will always put you in bad positions . So , technically euro would find support at 1.1703$ followed by 200 MA on the hourly chart which currently lies at 1.1650$ followed by the famous 1.1580$ On the other side , next resistance lies at 1.1740$ , followed by 1.1770$ and then multi year low 1.1860$ Fundamentally speaking ,the eurozone is still recovering and the pair is trading at fair value .

Aussie (AUD/USD) is not able to close above .7620$ despite its upside attempts. On Tuesday , the pair has initiated a reversal , a bearish one and will probably continue sliding during the coming sessions with busy economic schedule and releases coming on Thursday and Friday. Technically speaking , the pair is still capped by 0.77$ mark creating triple top , and still supported around 0.73$ , I am Favoring a decline to break the 0.73$ mark , maybe the united stated GDP figure release will be the catalyst for this move. Our First support will be 0.7485$ area followed by 0.7420$ area . It is advised going short at current level with stop loss executed on daily close above 0.7620$ area. On the hourly chart, The pair is showing weakness , and nearing oversold levels at 30 mark. Follow me on twitter @b4borio for updates on this trade and more trading ideas. Feel free to contact me anytime.