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Showing posts with the label rate cut

AUD/USD is downside biased

The pair has been trying to hold above 0.77$ many times but keeps failing except for only one which was reversed totally after unemployment report was released . Technical analysis for the pair ; it is still supported by the trendline coming from multi year low at 0.68$ passing by 0.7150$ and 0.74$ . A break below the trendline probably sitting now at 0.7560$ will accelerate its slide towards 0.73$ area. So we might enter short position at current market level 0.7610$ as the pair is facing resistance on 1h chart with 200 moving average lying at 0.7620$ area. Stop loss will be on hourly close above 0.7645$... Follow me twitter for updates on this trade and other trading ideas... my twitter handle is : @boriology

NZDUSD bearish below 0.7260

Kiwi reversed losses of previous two weeks and currently testing a critical resistance in the area between 0.7225-60$ . A 4h candle close above 0.7260$ will open the door to 0.7330-60$ . I prefer going short at current level 0.7235$ and adding another position at 0.7258$ . Take profit at 0.7125$ , then 0.7080$ ..I see #nzdusd heading back to 0.6950$ area and long term target 0.59$ The pair is also facing tough resistance at 0.7250$ area because of the 200 moving average on the 4h chart.

AUD/USD is playing the tough guy

Aussie has been playing the role of the tough guy for a while now , ignoring RBA rate cut and advancing more than 150 pips then . AUD/USD also ignored the surprising and better than expected non farm payroll "NFP" report , US economy added 255k jobs VS 180k expected. The US dollar rose against all majors including the australlian dollar , however audusd erased all losses and back to square one before the RBA and NFP. The pair is facing tough resistance at the area of 0.7675 area , where it fell many times from that area , if conquered , we might see 0.7720 which is last defence line against recent highs at 0.7840 area. The pair is not supposed to go there and even if , it will be very good area to short the pair at targeting 0.73$ area as first support , if broken , we will see prices not seen in almost a year , and the pair will be trading between 0.6980 to 0.7180 before resuming its fall. I prefer that scenario and I am on the short side Feel free to join me on t...