Skip to main content

Posts

Showing posts with the label gbpusd technical analysis

Sterling rally on unemployment news

Unemployment data came as expected which shows there is no damaging effect  from brexit and sterling rallied almost 40 pips to 1.2640$ completing the recovery from yesterday's low at 1.2503$ . However the rally stalled at previous strong support , now a strong resistance, 1.2640$ area. The pair is expected to retrace from here to below 1.26$ again. If we break above 1.2660$ , we might reach as far as 1.2720$ You may risk going long from 1.2560$ area with stoploss on 1h candle close below 1.2540$ . Brexit news will remain the main catalyst for sterling moves and market volatility .

Updates on brexit news

austria's bluemel says deal on the table is the best possible solution, not a good idea to re-start negotiations . Todays key event is the unemployment report; as of now, the unemployment rate in the uk stands at 4.1 percent and median estimate suggests it is likely to remain same. gbpusd is currently trading around 1.26$ , next resistance lies at 1.2640$ followed by 1.2670$ while support lies at 1.2540-60$ . Theresa may postponed the vote of parliament on brexit deals she had with brussels and donald tusk stated that this deal or no deal , looks like there will be no more negotiations and we are very close to no deal or may be canceling brexit at all which only needs decision from the uk without getting back to european union. Personally , I expect there will ve no confidence vote soon or theresa may will resign first.

GBP heading towards 1.25$

GBP/USD rallied to 1.2840 and reversed sharply to trade now at 1.2720$ . Brexit vote in the house of commons will be on 11 dec. And it will be terribly volatile afterwards. Check out the diagram below to find out the possible scenarios from the brexit vote on dec. 11 , anyway before then I am sure sterling will visit 1.25$

Gbpusd is very supported at 1.2975$

GBP/USD rallied over night from 1.3020$ to 1.3085$ and currently trading at 1.3057$ . Any reversal for the pair will have the pair supported at 1.2975$ , the pair will be still bullish over this area and it is recommended to buy any dip for the sterling , however be careful as the volatility is expected to continue over the coming 2 weeks. " i believe it will more bullish than bearish and we will visit 1.32$ soon" I advised a long trade last Friday at 1.2950$ . Keep following for updates and for trade recommendations , my twitter handle : @b4borio

Buy gbpusd at 1.3250$

Gbpusd has made several tops at 1.3440$ and reversed to 1.3250$ currently. The fall was initiated by draghi , the head of ECB lowering growth forecast from  2.4% to 2.1% and keeping interest at all time low. Brexit negotiations are ofcourse the main blame or fame for any move in Gbp/usd Technically speaking , 1.3250$ is very important support for the pait and if broken , the pair will be terribly bearish and might head towards 1.3080$ area . On the upside , 1.3340$ is a tough resistance for the pair .

Gbpusd broke the trendline

We had a falling trendline on the 1h chart which managed to keep the pair bound for four times . It managed to break above it after reversing the sharp dip after the federal reserve raised the interest rates last night. The pair is currently trading at 1.3390$ with very strong support at 1.3340$ First target will he 1.3530$ area.

Gbpusd well supported at 1.3340$

The pair rebounded sharply twice from the 1.3340$ area . And it should hold and we might see a rally towards 1.37$ mark during this month. So keep holding your sterlings unless we break below 1.3280$

Resistance levels for USD

The Dollar strengthened sharply since the beginning of May as I have already expected . You can follow me on twitter for frequent updates on my trades and recommendations . I see the dollar stalling for the current levels . We have 1.3480$ level which is a very critical support for the pair and I believe we will see a rebound to 1.37 before any retest of that support level again. Also , Eurusd has major support at the famous 1.1860$ and it is expected we might retest 1.20$ floor soon. Usdjpy is still unable to break above bearish trendline and showing strong bearish divergence . So a decline to 107.80 to 108.30¥ is most probably coming this week.